Investors - Lowes is moving on up

mark's picture

As the song went in the old show The Jeffersons,  "moving on up to the sky to the delux appartment in the sky".

OK, I know it's a little over the top, but their earnings came up nicely.

Keep in mind that they recently brought in a new CEO, Marvin Ellison.  So, he is working on putting his own ideas to work. In a seasonal business such as home improvement, quarter to quarter (Q to Q) metrics are important. I always ignore non-GAAP numbers.  GAAP keeps a level playing field.

As with any investment, there is good and bad.  All and all, I think the results were good.

Good

  • Sales and earnings increased 7.1% Q to Q.  Oddly enough, sales and total earnings moved up almost exactly the same percent.
  • New CEO.  A fresh look at things is always important in home remodeling. He spent 12 years with Home Depot as an EVP so he knows his competitor's play book. 
  • Earnings per share increased almost 11% Q to Q.  Keep in mind that this was a result of financial engineering (share buybacks)
  • Gross Margin increased 25 basis points. More sales revenue to cover cost of goods sold.
  • LTD was decreased relative to equity and in absolute amount.  At this stage of the economy it is good to reduce leverage.
  • Cash Flow from Operations is up 14%.  This enables financial flexibility.
  • Capital Expenditures were up, but well within their Depreciation and Amortization.  While it is important to invest in the business, building cash in the current environment is not a bad idea.

Bad

  • Share buybacks increased when the market price of the stock is high. Buy when the "Price is right" is the best plan.
  • Selling, General and Administrative expenses went from 20.13% to 22.45% Q to Q. Although, it costs money to make money.
  • Currency is a headwind in the current quarter.  Something to keep an eye on with all retailers.
  • The housing market is still experiencing weakness.  This will put a cap on future revenues.

Looks like a good start to me.  Keep on keeping on Mr. Ellison!

Copyright 2017 Mark T. McLaren